Study of the human infectious safety model under the influence of SARS-CoV-2 on the example of the Perm Krai of the Russian Federation

In the new millennium, humanity is faced with infectious diseases that no one previously knew about. end of 2019, an outbreak a coronavirus infection occurred in People’s Republic China (PRC) epicenter city Wuhan (Hubei Province). On February 11, 2020, International Committee on Taxonomy Viruses assigned official name to agent - SARS-CoV-2. According results serological and phylogenetic analysis, coronaviruses are divided into four genera: Alphacoronavirus, Betacoronavirus, Gammacoronavirus Deltacoronavirus. Currently, seasonal (HCoV-229E, OC43, -NL63 -HKU1) circulating among world’s population, which present year-round structure ARI, and, as rule, cause damage upper respiratory tract mild moderate severity, well two highly pathogenic coronaviruses-Middle East syndrome virus (MERS) COVID-19. To develop model human resistance disease caused by family, elements, links ways protecting Human-Virus-Environment system were identified. The destructive functions sixteen proteins SARS-CoV-2 strain considered. Deterministic statistical models cells risk development have been developed. A parameterized protection against proposed.